sixhundred.ai

protocol btc

2026-08-30 · $78,695 · no open pattern

Walk-forward weekly technical analysis on BTC. Hit rates are scored out of sample over a 13-week horizon, and each print is marked on the chart when it shows up.

BTC weekly MACD bullish cross opened Jul 26.
Last $78,695. Entry $65,340 / stop $60,113 / target $71,874.
n=17 over 10 years. 71%. Average +4.7%.

indicators

indicatornyrswlopenwinavgplay
Weekly MACD bullish cross1710y125071%+4.7%Buy after weekly MACD cross up; best above rising 20W EMA; stop on MACD failure or EMA loss.
20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend3510y1916054%+2.5%Buy pullbacks to the 20-week EMA only in an uptrend; stop on weekly close through EMA.
Weekly bull flag710y61086%+1.9%Wait for weekly close above flag high; stop under flag low.
Ascending triangle1610y124075%+1.6%Wait for weekly close above flat resistance; stop back under the line.
Cup and handle1210y102083%+8.0%Wait for weekly close above cup pivot; stop under handle low.
High tight flag0000——Only buy a confirmed high-tight breakout; stop under flag low.
Inverse head & shoulders53y41080%+7.9%Buy weekly close above neckline; stop under right shoulder.
history · 92 prints · 10 years · win 68% · 63/29
Weekly MACD bullish cross · 17

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2026-07-26 · win

entry $65,340 · stop $60,113 · target $71,874 · exit 2026-08-23 $71,874 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2026-04-19 · win

entry $73,856 · stop $67,948 · target $81,242 · exit 2026-05-10 $81,242 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2025-05-11 · win

entry $104,106 · stop $95,778 · target $114,517 · exit 2025-07-13 $114,517 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2024-10-20 · win

entry $69,002 · stop $63,482 · target $75,902 · exit 2024-11-10 $75,902 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2023-10-29 · win

entry $34,538 · stop $31,775 · target $37,992 · exit 2023-11-26 $37,992 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2023-07-02 · loss

entry $30,621 · stop $28,171 · target $33,683 · exit 2023-08-20 $28,171 -8.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2022-08-14 · loss

entry $24,319 · stop $22,374 · target $26,751 · exit 2022-08-21 $22,374 -8.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2022-04-03 · loss

entry $46,454 · stop $42,737 · target $51,099 · exit 2022-04-10 $42,737 -8.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2021-08-22 · loss

entry $49,322 · stop $45,376 · target $54,254 · exit 2021-09-12 $45,376 -8.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2020-10-18 · win

entry $11,483 · stop $10,565 · target $12,632 · exit 2020-10-25 $12,632 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2020-05-03 · win

entry $8,897 · stop $8,186 · target $9,787 · exit 2020-05-10 $9,787 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2020-02-02 · win

entry $9,344 · stop $8,597 · target $10,279 · exit 2020-02-16 $10,279 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2019-02-17 · win

entry $3,674 · stop $3,380 · target $4,041 · exit 2019-02-24 $4,041 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2018-09-02 · loss

entry $7,273 · stop $6,691 · target $8,000 · exit 2018-09-09 $6,691 -8.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2017-04-09 · win

entry $1,188 · stop $1,093 · target $1,307 · exit 2017-04-30 $1,307 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2016-11-06 · win

entry $712 · stop $655 · target $783 · exit 2016-12-18 $783 +10.0%

Weekly MACD bullish cross · 2016-05-29 · win

entry $526 · stop $484 · target $579 · exit 2016-06-05 $579 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 35

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2025-10-12 · loss

entry $115,170 · stop $111,507 · target $126,687 · exit 2025-10-19 $111,507 -3.2%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2025-08-17 · loss

entry $117,453 · stop $107,388 · target $129,198 · exit 2025-09-07 $107,388 -8.6%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2025-06-22 · win

entry $100,987 · stop $96,648 · target $111,086 · exit 2025-07-13 $111,086 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2025-04-27 · win

entry $93,755 · stop $87,375 · target $103,130 · exit 2025-05-11 $103,130 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2025-03-02 · loss

entry $94,248 · stop $90,680 · target $103,673 · exit 2025-03-09 $90,680 -3.8%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2024-10-20 · win

entry $69,002 · stop $62,280 · target $75,902 · exit 2024-11-10 $75,902 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2024-08-25 · loss

entry $64,334 · stop $61,715 · target $70,767 · exit 2024-09-01 $61,715 -4.1%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2024-06-30 · loss

entry $62,678 · stop $61,832 · target $68,946 · exit 2024-07-07 $61,832 -1.4%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2024-05-05 · win

entry $64,031 · stop $57,154 · target $70,434 · exit 2024-05-26 $70,434 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2024-01-28 · win

entry $42,036 · stop $38,522 · target $46,239 · exit 2024-02-11 $46,239 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2023-10-22 · win

entry $29,994 · stop $27,581 · target $32,993 · exit 2023-10-29 $32,993 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2023-08-13 · loss

entry $29,283 · stop $28,074 · target $32,211 · exit 2023-08-20 $28,074 -4.1%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2023-06-18 · win

entry $26,336 · stop $25,978 · target $28,970 · exit 2023-06-25 $28,970 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2023-04-23 · win

entry $27,591 · stop $24,513 · target $30,351 · exit 2023-06-25 $30,351 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2023-02-26 · loss

entry $23,561 · stop $21,048 · target $25,917 · exit 2023-03-12 $21,048 -10.7%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2021-10-17 · win

entry $61,554 · stop $46,675 · target $67,709 · exit 2021-11-14 $67,709 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2021-08-01 · loss

entry $39,975 · stop $39,502 · target $43,972 · exit 2021-08-08 $39,502 -1.2%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2021-05-16 · loss

entry $46,456 · stop $43,963 · target $51,102 · exit 2021-05-23 $43,963 -5.4%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2020-11-01 · win

entry $13,737 · stop $10,978 · target $15,111 · exit 2020-11-08 $15,111 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2020-09-06 · loss

entry $10,280 · stop $9,991 · target $11,308 · exit 2020-09-13 $9,991 -2.8%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2020-06-07 · win

entry $9,759 · stop $8,404 · target $10,735 · exit 2020-08-02 $10,735 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2019-10-27 · loss

entry $9,552 · stop $9,051 · target $10,507 · exit 2019-11-03 $9,051 -5.2%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2019-05-19 · win

entry $8,198 · stop $5,235 · target $9,017 · exit 2019-06-16 $9,017 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2018-04-29 · loss

entry $9,419 · stop $9,178 · target $10,361 · exit 2018-05-06 $9,178 -2.6%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2018-01-21 · loss

entry $11,600 · stop $10,279 · target $12,760 · exit 2018-01-28 $10,279 -11.4%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2017-11-05 · win

entry $7,407 · stop $4,359 · target $8,148 · exit 2017-11-26 $8,148 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2017-09-10 · loss

entry $4,123 · stop $2,994 · target $4,535 · exit 2017-09-17 $2,994 -27.4%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2017-07-16 · win

entry $1,930 · stop $1,910 · target $2,123 · exit 2017-07-23 $2,123 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2017-05-14 · win

entry $1,809 · stop $1,175 · target $1,990 · exit 2017-05-21 $1,990 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2017-03-19 · loss

entry $1,037 · stop $952 · target $1,140 · exit 2017-03-26 $952 -8.2%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2017-01-15 · win

entry $822 · stop $753 · target $904 · exit 2017-01-22 $904 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2016-10-02 · win

entry $611 · stop $584 · target $672 · exit 2016-10-30 $672 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2016-08-07 · loss

entry $593 · stop $567 · target $652 · exit 2016-08-14 $567 -4.3%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2016-05-29 · win

entry $526 · stop $431 · target $579 · exit 2016-06-05 $579 +10.0%

20-week EMA pullback in an uptrend · 2016-04-03 · win

entry $421 · stop $394 · target $463 · exit 2016-05-01 $463 +10.0%

Weekly bull flag · 7

Weekly bull flag · 2025-10-05 · loss

entry $123,513 · stop $107,271 · target $135,865 · exit 2025-10-12 $107,271 -13.2%

Weekly bull flag · 2025-07-06 · win

entry $109,232 · stop $98,286 · target $111,970 · exit 2025-07-13 $111,970 +2.5%

Weekly bull flag · 2023-10-22 · win

entry $29,994 · stop $24,930 · target $31,815 · exit 2023-10-29 $31,815 +6.1%

Weekly bull flag · 2020-07-26 · win

entry $9,905 · stop $8,976 · target $10,200 · exit 2020-08-02 $10,200 +3.0%

Weekly bull flag · 2016-12-18 · win

entry $791 · stop $653 · target $870 · exit 2016-12-25 $870 +10.0%

Weekly bull flag · 2016-10-02 · win

entry $611 · stop $563 · target $629 · exit 2016-10-16 $629 +3.0%

Weekly bull flag · 2016-04-24 · win

entry $459 · stop $394 · target $469 · exit 2016-05-29 $469 +2.3%

Ascending triangle · 16

Ascending triangle · 2025-10-05 · loss

entry $123,513 · stop $0.00 · target $135,865 · exit 2026-01-04 $91,413 -26.0%

Ascending triangle · 2025-07-27 · loss

entry $119,448 · stop $0.00 · target $131,393 · exit 2025-10-26 $114,472 -4.2%

Ascending triangle · 2025-06-01 · win

entry $105,652 · stop $0.00 · target $116,217 · exit 2025-07-13 $116,217 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2025-01-05 · win

entry $98,315 · stop $1.00 · target $100,487 · exit 2025-01-12 $100,487 +2.2%

Ascending triangle · 2024-11-03 · win

entry $68,741 · stop $0.00 · target $75,615 · exit 2024-11-10 $75,615 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2024-02-11 · win

entry $48,294 · stop $0.00 · target $53,123 · exit 2024-03-03 $53,123 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2023-06-25 · loss

entry $30,480 · stop $0.00 · target $33,528 · exit 2023-09-24 $26,257 -13.9%

Ascending triangle · 2023-03-19 · win

entry $28,039 · stop $0.00 · target $30,843 · exit 2023-04-16 $30,843 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2021-04-11 · loss

entry $60,205 · stop $1.00 · target $66,225 · exit 2021-07-11 $34,240 -43.1%

Ascending triangle · 2020-10-25 · win

entry $13,031 · stop $0.00 · target $14,334 · exit 2020-11-08 $14,334 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2020-07-26 · win

entry $9,905 · stop $1.00 · target $10,896 · exit 2020-08-02 $10,896 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2017-10-01 · win

entry $4,404 · stop $1.00 · target $4,844 · exit 2017-10-15 $4,844 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2017-08-06 · win

entry $3,214 · stop $1.00 · target $3,535 · exit 2017-08-13 $3,535 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2017-04-09 · win

entry $1,188 · stop $0.00 · target $1,307 · exit 2017-04-30 $1,307 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2016-11-06 · win

entry $712 · stop $0.00 · target $783 · exit 2016-12-18 $783 +10.0%

Ascending triangle · 2016-04-24 · win

entry $459 · stop $0.00 · target $504 · exit 2016-05-29 $504 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 12

Cup and handle · 2025-09-07 · win

entry $111,168 · stop $98,286 · target $122,284 · exit 2025-10-05 $122,284 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2025-07-13 · loss

entry $119,116 · stop $85,144 · target $131,028 · exit 2025-10-12 $115,170 -3.3%

Cup and handle · 2024-05-05 · win

entry $64,031 · stop $50,562 · target $70,434 · exit 2024-05-26 $70,434 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2024-01-14 · win

entry $41,796 · stop $34,083 · target $45,976 · exit 2024-02-11 $45,976 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2023-11-19 · win

entry $37,387 · stop $24,930 · target $41,125 · exit 2023-12-10 $41,125 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2021-02-21 · win

entry $57,540 · stop $17,620 · target $63,294 · exit 2021-04-18 $63,294 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2017-10-15 · win

entry $5,678 · stop $2,669 · target $6,246 · exit 2017-10-29 $6,246 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2017-07-02 · win

entry $2,506 · stop $1,156 · target $2,757 · exit 2017-07-09 $2,757 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2017-02-19 · win

entry $1,048 · stop $732 · target $1,153 · exit 2017-02-26 $1,153 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2016-12-25 · win

entry $896 · stop $609 · target $986 · exit 2017-01-01 $986 +10.0%

Cup and handle · 2016-07-24 · loss

entry $661 · stop $437 · target $727 · exit 2016-10-23 $657 -0.6%

Cup and handle · 2016-05-29 · win

entry $526 · stop $406 · target $579 · exit 2016-06-05 $579 +10.0%

Inverse head & shoulders · 5

Inverse head & shoulders · 2023-11-12 · win

entry $37,055 · stop $19,628 · target $40,760 · exit 2023-12-10 $40,760 +10.0%

Inverse head & shoulders · 2023-09-17 · win

entry $26,534 · stop $19,628 · target $29,188 · exit 2023-10-22 $29,188 +10.0%

Inverse head & shoulders · 2023-07-23 · loss

entry $30,085 · stop $19,628 · target $33,093 · exit 2023-10-22 $29,994 -0.3%

Inverse head & shoulders · 2023-05-28 · win

entry $28,086 · stop $19,628 · target $30,894 · exit 2023-06-25 $30,894 +10.0%

Inverse head & shoulders · 2023-04-02 · win

entry $28,199 · stop $19,628 · target $31,019 · exit 2023-06-25 $31,019 +10.0%